Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 4.162784 4.963876 5.855972 6.919917 8.150955 9.527122 11.178443
2025-07-20 3.109865 4.165863 5.462431 7.158185 9.302627 11.908085 15.295067
2025-07-27 2.505494 3.696038 5.279252 7.508438 10.530482 14.444256 19.847962
2025-08-03 1.987047 3.194858 4.918208 7.504838 11.225217 16.307817 23.682899
2025-08-10 1.546343 2.695241 4.445048 7.228927 11.451353 17.499000 26.663893
2025-08-17 1.225831 2.304441 4.049618 6.977842 11.636670 18.595678 29.552215
2025-08-24 1.026838 2.067653 3.845821 6.973618 12.162803 20.201349 33.279194
2025-08-31 0.872810 1.875854 3.679344 6.993740 12.707889 21.857203 37.188123
2025-09-07 0.734411 1.683317 3.476928 6.915781 13.066444 23.228155 40.734848
2025-09-14 0.592131 1.451984 3.163916 6.592077 12.956906 23.809481 43.032440
2025-09-21 0.507739 1.323073 3.023347 6.561333 13.347796 25.239743 46.812317
2025-09-28 0.436859 1.208419 2.891651 6.526086 13.718024 26.650915 50.644799
2025-10-05 0.410316 1.194265 2.970993 6.927948 14.963235 29.724499 57.619876
2025-10-12 0.371210 1.141106 2.958276 7.139734 15.864044 32.251193 63.815745
2025-10-19 0.345300 1.116240 3.004655 7.480651 17.049780 35.384359 71.304597
2025-10-26 0.301150 1.031653 2.898526 7.474443 17.528892 37.225806 76.550576
2025-11-02 0.249323 0.911607 2.685914 7.198742 17.415891 37.919697 79.698406
2025-11-09 0.207179 0.808511 2.496549 6.948353 17.324768 38.637954 82.923655
2025-11-16 0.181701 0.750935 2.415269 6.944074 17.766325 40.439677 88.338911
2025-11-23 0.160497 0.701662 2.347778 6.964098 18.261608 42.380549 94.139721
2025-11-30 0.138873 0.644422 2.247467 6.886424 18.522755 43.850869 99.085679
2025-12-07 0.113357 0.564100 2.063977 6.563935 18.173571 44.004573 101.367142
2025-12-14 0.099193 0.523400 1.992599 6.533306 18.520032 45.669361 106.849190